REAL Standings: The Fat Lady Edition

    It wasn’t long ago that KU was 1.5 games out of first place in the REAL Standings. Then something funny happened. The Jayhawks beat Oklahoma on the Road in a Projected Loss Game. They defeated Baylor on the Road in a Projected Loss Game. They overcame arch-rival K-State on the Road in an At Risk Game. And they Hooked Texas on the Road in a Projected Loss Game.

    That’s how you win championships.  Which is the mantra of the REAL Standings: Championships are won on the Road.

    What’s more, it is how you win championships by three games. Off the top of my head, I don’t recall a year when the champion turned a 1.5 game deficit into a three game lead.  Yet the Jayhawks are on pace to do just that provided they win at Home Saturday vs. Iowa St and Baylor wins, as projected, vs. West Virginia. 

    In Midweek contests not involving KU and Texas, West Virginia kept its hopes alive for an undisputed second place finish by taking Texas Tech apart, as projected, in Morgantown; Iowa St took care of business against Okie St on Senior Day in Ames, as projected; Oklahoma won in Norman, as projected, vs. Baylor (although blowing a 26 point lead and then having to come from behind to pull the game out in the final seconds was neither projected nor expected); and K-State parlayed its best shooting game of the season into a projected W in Manhattan vs. TCU. 

    Meaning only KU picked up ground in the REAL standings. The rich just get richer. And you thought income inequality was bad.  

                    CURRENT TIERS
1.    Oklahoma
West Virginia
Texas
Kansas
Baylor
Iowa State 

2.    K-State
Texas Tech

3.    Okie St
TCU
                HOW WE GOT HERE
Good W’s (Road wins at Power 6 venues):
•    Texas (at WVU, at Baylor)
•    Oklahoma (at Baylor, at WVU)
•    West Virginia (at Iowa St)
•    Baylor (at Iowa St, at Texas)
•    KU (at Oklahoma, at Baylor, at UT)
•    ISU (None)

Bad L’s (Losses at Home or at TCU/Okie St):
•    KU (at Okie St)
•    WVU (vs. UT, vs. OU)
•    OU (vs. KU)
•    UT (at TCU, vs. Baylor, vs. KU)
•    Baylor (vs. OU, vs. UT, vs. Tech, vs. KU)
•    ISU (vs. Baylor, vs. WVU)

                    CURRENT PROJECTIONS
1.    15-3
KU (14-3):     
Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None

2.        12-6

    OU (11-6):     
Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None

    WVU (12-5)
    Projected L’s (at Baylor)
    At risk games: None 

4.    11-7

Baylor (10-7): 
Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None

        UT (10-7):     
Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None


6.    10-8

ISU (10-7): 
Projected L’s (at KU)
    At risk games: None    

7.    9-9
    
    Texas Tech (8-9):
Projected L’s: None
              At risk games: None

8.    5-13
K-State (5-12)
Projected L’s (at Tech)
At risk games: None

9.    3-15

Okie State (3-14):  
Projected L’s (vs. UT)
At risk games: None

10.     2-16

TCU (2-15): 
Projected L’s (vs. OU)
At risk games: None

                AS SEEN ON TV

FRIDAY: 

8:00p.m.: Texas at Okie St (ESPN2)** (Projected W: UT)

    You’ve heard of Friday Night Lights in Texas. Call this a Friday Night Lightweight for Texas.

SATURDAY

Noon: Oklahoma at TCU (ESPW) *1/2 (Projected W: OU)

    Don’t look for Trent Johnson to talk about OU sucking prior to game time.

1:00 p.m.: West Virginia at Baylor (ESPN)**** (Projected W: BU)

    Sole possession of second place for the Mountaineers wouldn’t suck.

2:00p.m.: K-State at Texas Tech (ESPW)*** (Projected W: Tech)

K-State’s only Road win of the season was at TCU. They could use another here to wrap up an NIT invite.
    
3:00p.m.: Iowa St at KU (ESPN)**** (Projected W: KU)

    Senior Day at KU. And this time, KU has some seniors you have heard of.


--Mark

 

    

 

REAL Standings: Brought to you by the Number 12 Edition

    Absolutely no movement in the REAL Standings on Saturday. KU beat Texas Tech at Home, as projected; Texas beat Oklahoma at Home, as projected; Iowa St beat K-State at Home, as projected; West Virginia beat Tier 3 Okie St on the Road, as projected; and Baylor beat Tier 3 TCU on the Road, as projected.     

    However, the mere fact of taking another game off the schedule resulted in winnowing the field of challengers to KU’s quest for an undisputed championship to West Virginia. Although Texas and Oklahoma are both within two REAL games with two games remaining on everyone’s schedule, the Jayhawks have but one chance to lose a game that will affect their REAL record (i.e., Saturday to Iowa St); and only West Virginia can pick up a REAL game (i.e., Saturday at Baylor). Meaning there is a chance for both teams to finish 13-5 when the REAL Standings merge with those dutifully recorded in the paper.

The best OU and UT can do is maintain their current projected record of 12-6.

                    CURRENT TIERS

1.    Oklahoma
West Virginia
Texas
Kansas
Baylor
Iowa State 

2.    K-State
Texas Tech

3.    Okie St
TCU

                HOW WE GOT HERE 

Good W’s (Road wins at Power 6 venues):
•    Texas (at WVU, at Baylor)
•    Oklahoma (at Baylor, at WVU)
•    West Virginia (at Iowa St)
•    Baylor (at Iowa St, at Texas)
•    KU (at Oklahoma, at Baylor)
•    ISU (None)

Bad L’s (Losses at Home or at TCU/Okie St):
•    KU (at Okie St)
•    WVU (vs. UT, vs. OU)
•    OU (vs. KU)
•    UT (at TCU, vs. Baylor)
•    Baylor (vs. OU, vs. UT, vs. Tech, vs. KU)
•    ISU (vs. Baylor, vs. WVU)

                    CURRENT PROJECTIONS

1.    14-4
        KU (13-3):     
        Projected L’s (at UT)
    At risk games: None

2.        12-6

    OU (10-6):     
        Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None

    WVU (11-5)
    Projected L’s (at Baylor)
    At risk games: None 

        UT (10-6):     
        Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None

5.    11-7

         Baylor (10-6): 
         Projected L’s (at OU)
    At risk games: None

6.    10-8

        ISU (9-7): 
        Projected L’s (at KU)
    At risk games: None    

7.    9-9
    
    Texas Tech (8-8):
         Projected L’s (at WVU)
         At risk games: None

8.    5-13
        K-State (4-12)
        Projected L’s (at Tech)
        At risk games: None

9.    3-15

        Okie State (3-13):  
        Projected L’s (at ISU, vs. UT)
        At risk games: None

10.     2-16

        TCU (2-14): 
        Projected L’s (at K-State, vs. OU)
        At risk games: None

                AS SEEN ON TV

MONDAY: 

6:00p.m.: Okie St at Iowa St (ESPNU)* (Projected W: ISU)

    The Cyclones should be well rested for their game in Lawrence Saturday afternoon.

8:00p.m.: KU at Texas (ESPN) **** (Projected W: UT)

The Jayhawks have clinched a share of the Big 12 title. This is to clinch it outright. Two obstacles to overcome: 

1.    Texas. This has been a projected W for UT for weeks, being at Home.
2.    The Jayhawks have clinched a share of the Big 12 title. Will they maintain their intensity and focus? If they’re lucky, Shaka “OU Sucks” Smart will open his mouth before the game. Also, no 22-0 runs.

TUESDAY

7:00 p.m.: Baylor at Oklahoma (ESPN2)**** (Projected W: OU)

A projected loss for the Bears. However, they are the Big 12’s best Road team to this point in the season at 6-2. If they make it 7-2, they will set up a battle royal with West Virginia Saturday in Waco (where they are Tier 1’s worst Home team at 2-4 vs. opponents not named Okie St or TCU). If they win that game for a 12-6 record and at least a tie for 2nd place, maybe their detractors will be forced to acknowledge that they have a REAL coach. 

That’s only two If’s. 
         
WEDNESDAY

6:00p.m.: Texas Tech at West Virginia (ESPNU)***1/2 (Projected W: WVU)

If Texas wins as projected Monday night, West Virginia will be playing to keep its hopes alive for a share of the Big 12 championship.  If KU wins Monday, and WVU has a letdown, Tech has a REAListic chance of finishing the season above .500.
    
7:00p.m.: TCU at K-State (ESPNFC)* (Projected W: K-State)

Pretty much a Must Win game for K-State if they want to extend their season with an invite to the Little Dance and the chance to play in both the Big and Little Apples that comes with it. 

--Mark

 

    

 

REAL Standings: The Captain Obvious Edition

         KU picked up another full game in the REAL Standings Tuesday night by winning a Projected Loss Game in Waco. Although their 12th consecutive Big 12 title was already inevitable after their win in Manhattan, it is now even more inevitable to the extent that it is possible for something to be more inevitable. 

        Or, as David Byrne once said: “Same as it ever was. Same as it ever was. Same as it ever was. Same as it ever was.”

    This is, obviously, not a Once in a Lifetime event. At least not for anyone older than 11.5 months.

    The only other movement in the REAL Standings in the mid-week games was a half game pick-up by Texas in an at-risk game at K-State. This thanks to Dean Wade leaving a good look short at the buzzer.

    In water treading action, Oklahoma defeated Okie St at Home, as projected; West Virginia defeated Iowa St at Home, as projected; and Texas Tech defeated TCU at Home, as projected. 

    The bottom line: Only OU and WVU have any hope of sharing the title with the Jayhawks; and that only happens if either team wins out (including a W in Austin for the Sooners or in Waco for the Mountaineers) and KU loses at Texas and to either Tech or Iowa St in Lawrence (where Bill Self is 204-9). In other words, about the same odds as winning the Powerball Jackpot.

    Or, as Billy Joe Shaver once said: “It’s been that way since the get go. It’s been that way since the get go. It’s been that way since the get go. It’s always been that way.”
     

                    CURRENT TIERS

1.    Oklahoma
West Virginia
Texas
Kansas
Baylor
Iowa State 

2.    K-State
Texas Tech

3.    Okie St
TCU

                HOW WE GOT HERE 

Good W’s (Road wins at Power 6 venues):

•    Texas (at WVU, at Baylor)
•    Oklahoma (at Baylor, at WVU)
•    West Virginia (at Iowa St)
•    Baylor (at Iowa St, at Texas)
•    KU (at Oklahoma, at Baylor)
•    ISU (None)

Bad L’s (Losses at Home or at TCU):

•    KU (at Okie St)
•    WVU (vs. UT, vs. OU)
•    OU (vs. KU)
•    UT (at TCU, vs. Baylor)
•    Baylor (vs. OU, vs. UT, vs. Tech, vs. KU)
•    ISU (vs. Baylor, vs. WVU)

                    CURRENT PROJECTIONS

1.    14-4
KU (12-3):     
Projected L’s (at UT)
    At risk games: None

2.        12-6

    OU (10-5):     
Projected L’s (at UT) 
    At risk games: None

    WVU (10-5)
    Projected L’s (at Baylor)
    At risk games: None 

        UT (9-6):     
Projected L’s: None
    At risk games: None

5.    11-7

Baylor (9-6): 
Projected L’s (at OU)
    At risk games: None

6.    10-8

ISU (8-7): 
Projected L’s (at KU)
    At risk games: None    

7.    9-9
    
    Texas Tech (8-7):
Projected L’s (at KU, at WVU)
              At risk games: None

8.    5-13
K-State (4-11)
Projected L’s (at ISU, at Tech)
At risk games: None

9.    3-15

Okie State (3-12):  
Projected L’s (vs. WVU, at ISU, vs. UT)
At risk games: None

10.     2-16

TCU (2-13): 
Projected L’s (vs. BU, at K-State, vs. OU)
At risk games: None

                AS SEEN ON TV

SATURDAY: 

11:00a.m.: Texas Tech at KU (ESPN)***1/2 (Projected W: KU)

    The Jayhawks are, as Lady Gaga once said, On the Edge of Glory.

1:00p.m.: Oklahoma at Texas (CBS) **** (Projected W: UT)
    
    As Steve Harvey once said: “Congratulations to Oklahoma, your 2016 Big 12 Champions.”

5:00 p.m.: K-State at Iowa St (ESPN2)*** (Projected W: ISU)

    “Here I am, stuck in the middle with you.”     

5:00p.m.: West Virginia at Okie St (ESPNU)*1/2 (Projected W: WVU)

    “Mama, don’t let your babies grow up to be Cowboys.”
    
7:00p.m.: Baylor at TCU (ESPNU)* (Projected W: Baylor)

    Who said, “There’s no place like Road”?
 
        That’s right. Scott Drew. You might say it, too, if you lived in Waco. 

        Assuming the Bears beat TCU in Fort Worth, they will be 6-2 away from the Ferrell Center this year. That would be good enough to end KU’s title run if they had won them all at Home like, you know, a champion should. A Home record of 4-4 doesn’t cut it. 

--Mark

 

    

 

REAL STANDINGS: The It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over Edition

 

               In the most recent edition of the REAL Standings, it was noted that there is no shame in losing to Texas Tech, especially on the Road.

               Nevertheless, Oklahoma will rue the day it lost to the Fighting Tubbies.  A win in that at-risk game in Lubbock last Wednesday would have them tied with KU at the top of the REAL Standings at this very moment, with a reasonable opportunity to win the thing outright.

              As it is, the full game OU picked up at West Virginia by winning a Projected Loss Game merely brought the Sooners from 1.5 games back to within one game of KU, while dragging West Virginia back to the pack like one kid pulling down and climbing over another in a spirited game of King of the Hill.

              KU managed to maintain its lead over Oklahoma by winning its at-risk game at K-State. Otherwise, they would have dropped 1.5 games to OU in one day and dropped into a tie with the Sooners and Baylor, projecting out at 12-6 instead of 13-5.

              In the other Saturday game of note, Baylor traded places with Texas at 12-6 by clobbering UT in a Projected Loss Game in Austin.  

In other action, Texas Tech moved a full game up the ladder toward .500 with its Projected Loss victory at Okie St; and Iowa St won its Home game, as projected, against TCU.

                                                                        CURRENT TIERS

1.       Oklahoma

West Virginia

Texas

Kansas

Baylor

Iowa State

2.       K-State

Texas Tech

Okie St

3.       TCU

                                                          HOW WE GOT HERE

Good W’s (Road wins at Power 6 venues):

·       Texas (at WVU, at Baylor)

·       Oklahoma (at Baylor, at WVU)

·       West Virginia (at Iowa St)

·       Baylor (at Iowa St, at Texas)

·       KU (at Oklahoma)

·       ISU (None)

Bad L’s (Losses at Home or at TCU):

·       KU (None)

·       WVU (vs. UT, vs. OU)

·       OU (vs. KU)

·       UT (at TCU, vs. Baylor)

·       Baylor (vs. OU, vs. UT, vs. Tech)

·       ISU (vs. Baylor, vs. WVU)

                                                                        CURRENT PROJECTIONS

1.           13-5

KU (11-3):          

Projected L’s (at BU, at UT)

              At risk games: None

2.           12-6

              OU (9-5):           

Projected L’s (at UT)

              At risk games: None

              Baylor (9-5):

Projected L’s (at OU)

              At risk games: None

4.           11.5-6.5

              WVU (9-5)

              Projected L’s (at Baylor)

              At risk games (at OSU)

5.           11-7

              UT (8-6):            

Projected L’s: None

              At risk games (at K-State, at Okie St)

6.           10-8

ISU (8-6):

Projected L’s (at WVU, at KU)

              At risk games: None      

7.           8-10

              Texas Tech (7-7):

Projected L’s (at OSU, at KU, at WVU)

              At risk games: None

8.           5.5-12.5

K-State (4-10)

Projected L’s (at ISU, at Tech)

At risk games (vs. UT)

9.           5-13

Okie State (3-11): 

Projected L’s (at OU, at ISU)

At risk games (vs. WVU, vs. UT)

10.         2-16

TCU (2-12):

Projected L’s (at Tech, vs. BU, at K-State, vs. OU)

At risk games: None

                                                          AS SEEN ON TV

MONDAY:

6:00p.m.: Texas at K-State (ESPNU)***1/2 (At-risk)

              Texas had climbed to within shouting distance of the Big 12 lead and a possible title by executing. By making plays when plays needed to be made. By not beating themselves. By paying attention to detail. Heaven knows, their individual talent level is no better than that of a number of Big 12 teams. But they have a good mix of experience and youth, led by junior Isaiah Taylor and competent seniors Javan Felix, Conner Lammert, and Prince “Don’t call me PayPal” Ibeh.

              Saturday afternoon, all that experience and savvy play went by the wayside as UT played two hours of basketball that was the antithesis of who they appeared to be for a number of weeks. They were so bad, they resembled KU in Stillwater.

              UT’s chances of winning the Big 12 ae now, REAListically, out the window.  They are playing primarily for seeding in the Big 12 Tournament of Redundancy and March Madness. And Manhattan will not be an easy place to regain their swagger. Let’s see if they can stand up to the challenge presented by the Sandstorm of Doom they will encounter in the Flint Hills.

8:00p.m.: Iowa St at West Virginia (ESPN) ***1/2 (Projected W: WVU)        

              West Virginia trails KU by 1.5 games after losing its Projected Win Game to Oklahoma in Morgantown. They can pick up a game at Baylor and a half game at Okie St. Voila: They are tied for the Big 12 championship. Well, as long as KU cooperates and loses at both Baylor and Texas (not out of the question); or matches a win in either or both of those games with a loss to Texas Tech or Iowa St in Lawrence (a don’t hold your breath proposition).

TUESDAY

7:00 p.m.: KU at Baylor (ESPN2)**** (Projected W: Baylor)

              Baylor can stay within one REAL game of KU with a victory here and then pick up the game they need to catch the Jayhawks when they play OU in Noman.

The Jayhawks, on the other hand, by picking up their second victory in a Projected Loss Game (the first being at OU), can do everything but clinch an un-shared Big 12 title.

8:00p.m.: TCU at Texas Tech (ESPN3)* (Projected W: Tech)

              Could be the game that decides whether 60% or 70% of the Big 12’s teams receive invites to the Big Dance.

WEDNESDAY

8:00p.m.: Okie St at OU (ESPNU)**1/2 (Projected W: OU)

       Oklahoma, like Baylor and West Virginia, has a schedule that presents it with an opportunity to pick up the ground it needs to catch KU. The Sooners are one game back of the Jayhawks in the REAL Standings and have a chance to pick up that game in Austin. Then win their other games (vs. OU and Baylor and at TCU) while hoping KU lost the day before AND will lose at Texas.

--Mark

 

 

 

             

 

 

 

REAL STANDINGS: HIGH TECH EDITION

              There is no shame in losing to Texas Tech this year. Texas did it. Iowa St did it. Baylor did it at Home. And Wednesday night, Oklahoma did it.

              Nor is it fatal to lose on the Road to a Tier 2 team other than Tech. KU did it at Okie St. Oklahoma did it in Manhattan.

              The problem for Oklahoma Is that they are on both lists. That is the difference between their current projection of 11-7, 1.5 games behind KU and West Virginia and being projected out at 13-5, a half game in front of the pack. Of course, the half game dropped in Lubbock, by itself, is keeping the Sooners from being merely a half game behind the leaders with 12 projected W’s.

              In other words, to quote someone (don’t ask me who) I heard somewhere (don’t ask where), OU’s loss in Lubbock was Huuuuuuge!

              Meanwhile, West Virginia, the only Tier 1 team without a loss to a Tier 2 team, failed to separate itself from the field Wednesday night in losing as projected at Texas. WVU’s problem is that it is on the list of Tier 1 teams with Home losses (along with Iowa St, Baylor, and—who else—Oklahoma).

              Still, West Virginia did not lose ground in dropping a Projected Loss Game.  Their REAL record remains 12.5-5.5.

              KU also remains at 12.5-5.5 with its Projected W at Home vs. Okie St.

              In other midweek action, K-State picked up a half game with an at risk W at TCU; and Baylor and ISU’s REAL records remained unchanged with the Bears’ projected W in Waco.

                                                                        CURRENT TIERS

1.       Oklahoma

West Virginia

Texas

Kansas

Baylor

Iowa State

2.       K-State

Texas Tech

Okie St

3.       TCU

                                                          HOW WE GOT HERE

Good W’s (Road wins at Power 6 venues):

·       Texas (at WVU, at Baylor)

·       Oklahoma (at Baylor)

·       West Virginia (at Iowa St)

·       Baylor (at Iowa St)

·       KU (at Oklahoma)

·       ISU (None)

Bad L’s (Losses at Home or at TCU):

·       KU (None)

·       WVU (vs. UT)

·       OU (vs. KU)

·       UT (at TCU)

·       Baylor (vs. OU, vs. UT, vs. Tech)

·       ISU (vs. Baylor, vs. WVU)

                                                                        CURRENT PROJECTIONS

1.           12.5-5.5

KU (10-3):          

Projected L’s (at BU, at UT)

              At risk games (at K-State)

              WVU (9-4)

              Projected L’s (at Baylor)

              At risk games (at OSU)

3.           12-6

              UT (8-5):            

Projected L’s: None

              At risk games (at K-State, at Okie St)

4.           11-7

              OU (8-5):           

Projected L’s (at WVU, at UT)

              At risk games: None

              Baylor (8-5):

Projected L’s (at UT, at OU)

              At risk games: None

6.           10-8

ISU (7-6):

Projected L’s (at WVU, at KU)

              At risk games: None      

7.           8-10

              Texas Tech (6-7):

Projected L’s (at OSU, at KU, at WVU)

              At risk games: None

8.           6-12

K-State (4-9)

Projected L’s (at ISU, at Tech)

At risk games (vs. KU, vs. UT)

9.           5-13

Okie State (3-10): 

Projected L’s (at OU, at ISU)

At risk games (vs. WVU, vs. UT)

10.         2-16

TCU (2-11):

Projected L’s (at ISU, at Tech, vs. BU, at K-State, vs. OU)

At risk games: None

                                                          AS SEEN ON TV

SATURDAY:

1:00p.m.: Baylor at UT (ESPN)**** (Projected W: UT)

Texas is laying in wait, a half-game behind KU and West Virginia. Their problem is that their projected record is 12-6, with a ceiling of 13-5 IF they can win out at Home (vs. Baylor, KU, and OU) and take out both K-State and Okie St on the Road. Any loss anywhere at this point is either  fatal or REALly, REALly close to it.

Actually, the same is true of Baylor.

In other words, it will be High Noon at 1:00p.m. on Red River Street.

3:00p.m.: Oklahoma at West Virginia (ESPN) **** (Projected W: WVU)

Oklahoma is in the same boat as Texas and Baylor. A sinking one. They must win out to stay afloat.

West Virginia is in better shape for now. A loss will not be fatal. However, a loss accompanied by a KU W in Manhattan, and the Mountaineers are checking into Intensive Care at St.  Morgan Hospital.

5:00 p.m.: KU at K-State (ESPN2)**** (At risk)

It isn’t like having the entire conference pulling against you is a new experience for KU. That will certainly be the case here. A KU victory coupled with a West Virginia loss makes KU’s projected record 13-5, which they can reach at Home Alone (vs. Tech and ISU) even if they lose out on the Road (at Baylor and UT). And KU is kinda good at Home, don’tcha know?

6:30p.m.: TCU at Iowa St (ESPNU)* (Projected W: ISU)

Iowa St is looking forward to a game it can win. And the post-season tourney. Like anything else matters.

8:30p.m.: Texas Tech at Okie St (ESPNU)** (Projected W: OSU)

If the conference race were starting over tomorrow, Tech would have to be considered for a slot in Tier 1. Or in a new and improved Tier 2, with Okie St and K-State assigned to Tier 3 and TCU even lower.

Tech probably should be in a Tier above Okie St right now, which would make their game in Stillwater an at risk game rather than a Projected W for OSU.

But, then, what difference would it make? Especially since their only remaining meaningful games are at KU and West Virginia, two projected losses regardless of Tech’s placement.

--Mark

 

 

 

             

 

 

REAL Standings: Jayhawks are Red, Jayhawks are Blue, No. 12 Is Now in View Valentine's Day Edition

    From fifth to first. That was KU’s story on Saturday, as the Jayhawks leap-frogged Oklahoma, Baylor, and Texas to catch West Virginia for the inside track in their quest for their twelfth consecutive Big 12 championship.

    That’s what happens when you become the only team in the conference with both a good win (i.e., in a Projected Loss game) and no bad losses (in a Projected Win game).

    OU was like that before Saturday, before Devonte Graham outplayed the probable Player of the Year in Norman, turning OU’s Projected W into a Sooner nightmare. KU’s victory moved it from one game behind OU in the REAL Standings to one game in front.

    Not that the Jayhawks did it all on their own. They also picked up two full games on Baylor, one of them thanks to Texas Tech putting on a basketball clinic in Waco (or did it just resemble a clinic by comparison?); and a full game on Texas thanks to Iowa St downing UT in Ames, as projected. And, to the extent it is yet relevant, a full game on Iowa St with the Cyclones’ win being of the projected variety.

    In fact, the only team in the conference that did not lose REAL ground to the Jayhawks Saturday was Texas Tech, who, like KU picked up a victory in a game it was projected to lose in Waco.

    In the only other game Saturday, K-State lost its thirteenth consecutive conference Road game at Oklahoma St. Like their game in Waco, K-State had to take the game into overtime to avoid winning.

                    CURRENT TIERS
1.    Oklahoma
West Virginia
Texas
Kansas
Baylor
Iowa State 

2.    K-State
Texas Tech
Okie St

3.    TCU
                HOW WE GOT HERE
Good W’s (Road wins at Power 6 venues):
•    Texas (at WVU, at Baylor)
•    Oklahoma (at Baylor)
•    West Virginia (at Iowa St)
•    Baylor (at Iowa St)
•    KU (at Oklahoma)
•    ISU (None)

Bad L’s (Losses at Home or at TCU):
•    KU (None)
•    WVU (vs. UT)
•    OU (vs. KU)
•    UT (at TCU)
•    Baylor (vs. OU, vs. UT, vs. Tech)
•    ISU (vs. Baylor, vs. WVU)

                    CURRENT PROJECTIONS
1.    12.5-5.5
KU (9-3):     
Projected L’s (at BU, at UT)
    At risk games (at K-State)

    WVU (9-3)
    Projected L’s (at UT, at Baylor)
    At risk games (at OSU) 

3.        12-6
        UT (7-5):     
Projected L’s: None
    At risk games (at K-State, at Okie St)

4.    11.5-6.5

    OU (8-4):     
Projected L’s (at WVU, at UT) 
    At risk games (at Tech)

5.    11-7    
    Baylor (7-5): 
Projected L’s (at UT, at OU)
    At risk games: None

6.    10-8

ISU (7-5): 
Projected L’s (at BU, at WVU, at KU)
    At risk games: None    

7.    7.5-10.5
    
    Texas Tech (5-7):
Projected L’s (at OSU, at KU, at WVU)
              At risk games (vs, OU)

8.    5.5-12.5
K-State (3-9)
Projected L’s (at ISU, at Tech)
At risk games (at TCU, vs. KU, vs. UT)

9.    5-13

Okie State (3-9):  
Projected L’s (at KU, at OU, at ISU)
At risk games (vs. WVU, vs. UT)

10.     2.5-15.5

TCU (2-10): 
Projected L’s (at ISU, at Tech, vs. BU, at K-State, vs. OU)
At risk games: (vs. K-State)


                AS SEEN ON TV

MONDAY: 

8:00p.m.: Okie St at KU (ESPN)***1/2 (Projected W: KU)

KU can never fully make up for what happened in Stillwater. They better, however, put it behind them.

TUESDAY:

6:00p.m.: West Virginia at Texas (ESPN 2) **** (Projected W; UT)

If you are a KU fan, hold your nose and pull for Texas. Otherwise, WVU's over/under becomes 13.5.

7:00 p.m.: K-State at TCU (ESPN 3)**(At risk)

K-State’s opportunity to win a conference game on the Road. Probably its last chance until January 2017.

8:00p.m.: Iowa St at Baylor (ESPN 2)**** (Projected W: BU)

If 13-5 is good enough for a co-championship, the loser of this game can hang it up. In REALity, both teams are probably playing for post-season seeding, anyway. But, where there is life, there is hope.
WEDNESDAY

7:00p.m.: Oklahoma at Texas Tech (ESPNU)*** (at risk)

    Suddenly, a game vs. Tech is REAL scary, Home or away. But especially away. 


--Mark