REAL Standings: West Virginia takes the early lead

First blood in the Big 12 race goes to West Virginia—that is if you subscribe to the theory that TCU is a legitimate Tier 2 team. If you don't, nothing happened on the first Saturday of the Big 12 season, because (a) Texas won at Tech, as projected; (b) Okie St defeated K-State at Home, as projected; and (c) Oklahoma took care of business at Home vs. Baylor, as projected. As a result, none of these six teams' projected records changed one iota.

However, if TCU is for REAL as a Tier 2 squad (and they gave WVU a credible game Saturday), the Mountaineers picked up a valuable win at a place where one or more contenders are likely to pick up a loss, because that is what genuine Second Tier teams do: screw up some better team's (or teams') season(s).

Time will tell whether TCU is legit or simply the product of a ridiculously easy early season schedule. In the meantime, for the purposes of this exercise, they will be given the benefit of the doubt. Which means, for the moment, at least for the moment, West Virginia leads the pack in the annual quest for the Self Cup.

Tiers

Tier 1 : Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia

Tier 2: Okie St, TCU

Tier 3: K-State, Texas Tech

REAL Standings:

1. 12.5-5.5

West Virginia (1-0) Projected Losses: at UT, at OU, at ISU, at BU, at KU At risk games: at OSU

2. 12-6

KU (0-0) Projected Losses: at BU, at ISU, at UT, at WVU, at OU At risk games: at TCU, at OSU

Texas (1-0) Projected Losses: at ISU, at BU, at OU, at WVU, at KU At risk games: at OSU, at TCU

Iowa St: (0-0) Projected Losses: at WVU, at BU, at KU, at OU, at UT At risk games: at OSU, at TCU

Oklahoma (1-0) Projected Losses: at UT, at WVU, at KU, at BU, at ISU At risk games: at OSU, at TCU

Baylor (0-1) Projected Losses: at WVU, at at KU, at ISU, at UT At risk games: at TCU, at OSU

7. 7-11

Okie St (1-0) Projected Losses: at ISU, at KU, at OU, at UT, at BU, at TCU, at WVU At risk games: UT, at KSU, BU, OU, KU, ISU, WVU, at Tech

8. 6.5-11.5

TCU (0-1) Projected Losses: at WVU, at ISU, at BU, at UT, at KU, at OU, at OSU At risk games: at KSU, BU, at Tech, at UT, KU, OU, ISU

9. 2-16

K-State (0-1) Projected Losses: at OU, BU, at ISU, WVU, at KU, at Tech, UT, at WVU, OU, at TCU, at BU, KU, ISU, at UT At risk games: TCU, OSU

Texas Tech (0-1) Projected Losses: WVU, at KU, at KSU, at OSU, ISU, at OU, at WVU, at ISU, KU, at UT, BU, OU, at TCU, at BU At risk games: TCU, OSU

BIG 12 SCHEDULE

Monday

1. West Virginia at Texas Tech (6:00pm)** (Projected W: WVU)

Though riding high at the moment, West Virginia's season could go to Hell, go straight to Hell, without passing GO, without collecting 200 dollars, if it were to lose on the High Plains tonight. And Tech, albeit a clear Level 3 team, is going to put it all together for 40 minutes at some point and/or catch somebody napping and destroy their championship hoop dreams. That's what Tubby Smith does.

2. Oklahoma at Texas (8:00pm)***** (Projected W: UT)

This is everything the football game between these two football schools has not been in recent years. A compelling match-up between teams with playoff aspirations. OU has everything to gain and nothing to lose, being a Road game vs. a Contender and a Projected Loss. A win here, and the Sooners take the inside track to the title, because UT is not likely to lose twice at Home.

Tuesday

3. Okie St at Iowa St (8:00pm). **1/2 (Projected W: ISU)

There is no question that Okie St is a legitimate Tier Two team. If the Cyclones go 1 for 18 from behind the three point line, like that Saturday at South Carolina, they could be in big trouble REAL early in the conference season.

Wednesday

4. TCU at K-State (8:00pm) * (At- risk game)

K-State lost at Home to TSU in the non-con portion of the season. What’s the difference between TSU and TCU?

5. KU at Baylor (8:00pm) ***** (Projected W: BU)

Replace OU with KU, and you have the same type of situation as tonight’s game in Austin—except for the fact that Baylor is a soft Tier 1 team. Still, it would be a nice win.

--Mark

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