REAL STANDINGS: BEFORE A MONSTER GAME

More stupid announcer tricks:

  • During the K-State/Tennessee game, K-State was down 57-46. They score a basket to make the score 57-48. They foul Tennessee. The Vols make one free throw and extend their lead to 58-48. K-State brings the ball up court. Tom Hart says, “K-State has been unable to get within single digits. This is their chance.”

           Uh, Tom. They were within single digits three seconds ago.

 

  • During the Oklahoma/Texas game on Monday, Fran and his sidekick noted in amazement that, seven games into the conference season, KU had already distanced itself from everyone but Baylor—and, of course, Baylor trailed the Jayhawks in the newspaper standings by a full game at the time.

           And these guys get paid good money to talk about basketball. To talk about the Big 12. SMH.

          Even without the REAL Standings, anyone who was paying attention during non-conference play was aware before the first conference games on December 30 that there were only three teams in contention: KU, Baylor, and WVU.

          Anyone paying attention to the REAL Standings REALized while Fran was talkin that Baylor did not trail the Jayhawks by a full game. Or even a half game. They were in a flat out tie for the conference lead. Yes, the Bears had a loss, but it was at West Virginia. KU had not yet played at West Virginia, which was a projected loss in the REAL Standings. (Not to mention a predicted loss by virtually anyone else.)The Jayhawks could, certainly, leave Morgantown with a full game lead, but they would have to earn it. Until then, KU’s perceived one game lead atop the conference standings was simply a mirage.

          Indeed, KU lost in West Virginia, and the mirage of a one game lead over Baylor vanished.

          As a result, nothing of significance happened in the REAL Standings. KU’s projected record of 14-4 changed not. Baylor’s projected record, likewise, remained at 14-4 when it won, as projected, vs. Texas Tech in Waco.

          In other games, all three Home favorites won as projected: Okie St over TCU, Texas over Oklahoma, and Iowa St over K-State.

 

                                                   CURRENT TIERS

Tier 1:

KU, Baylor, West Virginia

Tier 2:

Iowa St, K-State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Texas, TCU, Texas Tech,

 

CURRENT PROJECTIONS

  1. 14-4

KU (7-1)

Projected L’s (at BU)

At risk games (at K-State, at Tech, at UT, at OSU)

 

Baylor (7-1)

Projected L’s (at KU)

At risk games (at OSU, at Tech, at ISU, at UT)

  1. 11.5-6.5

WVU (5-3) 

Projected L’s (at KU, at BU)

At risk games (at ISU, at OU, at TCU)

         

  1. 9-9

ISU (5-3)

Projected L’s (at KU, at UT, at K-State, at Tech, at WVU)

At risk games (vs. WVU, vs. BU)

 

  1. 8.5-9.5

 

K-State (4-4)

 

Projected L’s (at BU, at WVU, at UT, at OU, at TCU)

At risk games (KU)                                      

  1. 7.5-10.5

TCU(3-5)

Projected L’s (at K-State, at BU, at ISU, at KU, at OU)

At risk games: (vs. WVU)

 

  1. 7-11

Tech (3-5)

Projected L’s (at UT, at TCU, at WVU, at OSU, at K-State)

At risk games (vs. KU, vs. BU)

 

  1. 6.5-11.5

OU (2-6)

     Projected L’s (at Tech, at ISU, at OSU, at BU, at KU) 

At risk games (vs. WVU)

 

  1. 6-12

UT (2-6)

Projected L’s (at TCU, at OSU, at OU, at WVU, at Tech)

At risk games (vs. KU, vs. BU)

 

Okie State (2-6) 

Projected L’s (at OU, at WVU, at TCU, at K-State, at ISU)

At risk games (vs. BU, vs. KU)

 

 

                                         AS SEEN ON TV

Monday

  1. Okie St at Oklahoma (8:00p.m.) (ESPN) (Projected W: OU)***1/2

       Might not mean much in the Big 12 standings, but who doesn’t like Bedlam?  

 

Tuesday                                                                       

  1. West Virginia at Iowa St (8:00p.m.) (ESPN2) (At-risk game)****

      With a loss at Home and two on the Road, the Mountaineers can’t let this one get away. But if they can’t win in               Lubbock or the Octagon, how do they expect to cope vs. Hilton’s Magic? Harry Potter is not walking through that           door.

 

Wednesday                                                                  

  1. TCU at K-State (6:30p.m.) (ESPN News) (Projected W: K-State)***1/2

     It has been said before, but there is no such thing as a gimme in the Big 12. And every game is critical. Especially if      K-State wants to continue its dream of making the Field of 68.

  1. Texas Tech at Texas (8:00p.m.) (ESPNU) (Projected W: UT)***1/2

       Tech had to work hard to avoid beating Baylor Wednesday night in Waco. ESPN is grateful, because it set up the          Big 12 Game of the Year (so far) on Wednesday:               

  1. Baylor at Kansas (8:00p.m.) (ESPN2) (Projected W: KU)*****

      When both teams won Saturday evening, this became a monster game. Probably two top 5 teams. Maybe two Top       3 teams. Biggest game in Allen Fieldhouse since the Jayhawks played Buddy Hield and Oklahoma last year.

       And make no mistake about it. It is bigger for KU than Baylor. A KU win has no effect on the REAL Standings, as          both teams’ REAL record will remain 14-4. A Baylor win puts KU behind the 8 ball by two full games: The                      Jayhawks would drop to 13-5 compared to the Bears’ 15-3.

       Two  things to note about this game:

         a. This is not your father’s Baylor team. It appears to be organized and mentally tough. Is Scott Drew improving as a coach, having learned every way to avoid screwing up by actually screwing up in every possible way through the years? Is he one of those coaches who works better with second level talent than with the demands presented by elite players? Or did he just get lucky that this particular group just happened to “gel”?

          b. Regardless, Scott Drew has the distinction of having lost more games at Allen Fieldhouse (9) than Bill Self (8).

--Mark

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