The most important result this weekend found KU dropping a half game in the REAL Standings by frittering away a game against a vastly inferior team in Stillwater. In doing so, the Jayhawks, instead of taking a full game lead on UT, and protecting themselves against a UT W in Manhattan this Monday night, fell into a flat-footed tie with the Longhorns and now must pin their hopes on arch-rival k-state to keep UT from picking up a full game in the RSP and taking a formidable lead over the Hawks with only two games of REAL significance remaining on the Big 12 schedule: i.e., UT’s Losable game at Tech this coming Saturday, and KU’s Losable game in College Station a week later.
I must admit to giving some thought to dropping KU to Tier Two status after Saturday’s exercise in patheticism. My subjective standard for Tier One is that a team appear capable of winning every conference game at Home and at least half of its Road games. The Hawks are close to not meeting that definition if you question their chances in Ames Wednesday night. I can’t quite go there yet. I am also generally slow to change a team’s current status unless there is no reasonable argument to make for keeping it where it is.
The other result that mattered came out of Waco, as Baylor virtually ended k-state’s hopes for even a share of the Big 12 championship, dropping k-state another ½ game in the RSP. k-state should probably be dropped from Tier One with its fourth Road loss, but the sheer force of inertia says let’s see what they do Monday night.
The biggest numerical gainer of the week was Nebraska, as the Huskers continued its late season charge with a W in College Station in a game that had been a projected L. NU has not lost since being temporarily dropped to Tier Three in the RSP. Guess they took it personally.
Projected Home wins by Tech (vs. ISU), UT (vs. OU), and Mizzou (vs. CU) were all Non-Events for REAL Standings purposes.
REAL STANDINGS: 2/21/08
Note: The current breakdown of teams into tiers, which is the only subjective aspect of the REAL Standings is:
Tier One: KU, k-state, UT Tier Two: Baylor, Mizzou, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Okie St, Texas A&M, Texas Tech Tier Three: CU, ISU
KU (9-3) Projected L’s: None Losable games: at A&M
UT (10-2) Projected L’s: at ksu Losable games: at TT
k-state (8-4) Projected L’s: at KU Losable games: None
Baylor (6-6) Projected L’s: at TT Losable games: at CU
OU (6-6) Projected L’s: at NU, at OSU Losable games: None
A&M (6-6) Projected L’s: at OU, at BU Losable games: KU
Tech (6-6) Projected L’s: at A&M, at KU Losable games: UT
MU (5-7) Projected L’s: at BU, at OU Losable games: None
NU (5-7) Projected L’s: at OSU, at UT Losable games: None
OSU (5-7) Projected L’s: at MU, at UT Losable games: None
ISU (4-8) Projected L’s: KU, at CU, at MU, ksu Losable games: None
CU (2-10) Projected L’s: at ksu, at NU Losable games: BU
FOR YOUR VIEWING PLEASURE
Big XII Weekend Games, with IQ (Interest Quotient) on a 1-4 star scale:
1. UT at k-state (8:00p.m.)****
k-state holds KU’s dreams of a 51st conference title in its purple hands. As the Wicked Witch of the West would say, “What a world. What a world.”
Projected W: k-state
2. Okie St at Mizzou (8:00p.m.)***
Okie St is playing well for a Tier Two Team. They are, however, 1-19 in their last 20 Road games. They did beat A&M in College Station last week, but that feat is so easy even a Cave—errrrrr--Cornhusker can do it.
Projected W: MU
3. KU at Iowa St (6:00p.m.)***
ISU is no slouch at Hilton, despite blowing a game that was in the proverbial bag against UT. They are probably as good in Hilton as Okie St is in GIA. Bad news for KU? Maybe. Then again, another opportunity for the Jayhawks to display or develop some Road mettle.
Projected W: KU
4. OU at NU (7:00p.m.)***
Can the Huskers continue their winning ways vs. the Griffin Gang?
Projected W: NU
5. Tech at A&M (7:00p.m.)**1/2
A simply horrible Road team vs. what has recently been a simply horrible Home team. Movable Object meet Resistable Force.
Projected W: A&M
6. Baylor at CU (7:30p.m.)****
A critical game for Baylor’s NCAA chances.
Projected W: None