1. Colorado +14 at KU
I readily took ISU +13 points last week. And ISU is probably a step below Colorado in the Big 12 hierarchy.
However, KU played Iowa St on the Road. It was the Cyclones’ conference opener. CU has neither of those edges. Oh, you might consider being on a humbling two game losing skid a motivational edge, that it might lead to the Buffs being focused on redemption.
However, CU is not known as a great Road team. And the Jayhawks may have had their Davidson moment in Ames. If they are not ready to play 60 minutes this week and hit their stride in their conference Home opener, this is not a Mangino team. From henceforth refer to the Hawks by the initials PBA, because, behind the Big 12’s best QB, they are starting to roll.
2. Texas +7 at Oklahoma
This could be a butt whipping of Biblical proportions. UT will only go so far without a running attack and a porous pass defense. Not to mention the Stoops vs. Brown thing. Where is Vince Young when you need him?
3. Iowa St +4.5 at Baylor
The Home team wins this game. ISU would win if it were in Ames. The question is whether Baylor wins by a field goal or a TD. Although I have a good friend who says he never takes Baylor—ever--I say they win this game by a field goal and a safety.
4. k-state -3.5 at Texas A&M
Imagine losing at Home 58-28, then being favored the following week in Texas. You would assume you were playing in Denton, right? Wrong. You are in College Station playing what is historically the Lone Star State’s No. 2 team. This year, perhaps, its No. 7 team. Still, a W on the Road for this k-state team led by Prince and Freeman? By more than a FG? As bad as A&M is, it could happen. But I wouldn’t bet on it.
5. Okie St +14 at Mizzou
Okie St could catch Mizzou looking ahead to next week when the Tigers get their first chance of 2008 to make a statement—a statement that they can play with the big boys away from Home. This week, they have to settle for playing a team of smaller boys coached by a man. I might like Okie St and its high powered offense to win this game outright in Stillwater. But when has Gundy-man ever have his boys ready to play a big Road game? Fourteen is a lot of points, but The cowBOYS will make just enough big game and Road-induced mistakes to avoid staying in that range.
6. Nebraska +21 at Texas Tech
Bo knows blow-outs. If the Huskers can’t slow down Mizzou at Home, what are they going to do against Harrell, Crabtree and Co. on the Road?
7. Minnesota +12 at Illinois
Why would Minnesota have more success vs. Illinois in Champagne than Michigan had in Ann Arbor?
8. South Carolina at Kentucky (Pick)
Who woulda thunk that the two best Big Blues in college football would be the two pre-eminent basketball programs of all time?
9. Vanderbilt -2.5 at Miss St
Vandy is dandy. And quicker.
10. Arizona St +27.5 at Southern Cal
USC has had its last hiccup before January—barring re-entry into the pretend national championship race.
11. Notre Dame +7 at UNC
Yet another blue clad member of the basketball elite leap-frogging over a traditional football power. Heck, THE traditional football power.
12. New Mexico +23.5 at BYU
I am trying to make a case for New Mexico St to cover this Vegas spread. I’m having no more success than O.J.’s attorneys had with a Vegas jury. . .
13. Penn St -5 at Wisconsin
Wisconsin will defend its turf like a pack of rabid Badgers to keep from losing its third straight game and facing the prospect of being relegated to a third tier bowl game. Still, I will remain on Mr. Joe’s Wild Ride until given a reason to get off.
14. LSU +6 at Florida
If Ole Miss can win in the Swamp, should be easy for the defending pretending national champions. Right?
Uh, no. The two time losers from last year take it on the chin for the first time this year—and it will not even require overtime.
15. Tulsa -25 at SMU
Twenty five points on the Road is almost unheard of. Unheard FROM is SMU’s Defense.