Only one game failed to go as projected in the final MTW slate of the season: Red Hot Colorado (2 straight W's and 3 of 5) over Nebraska in Lincoln. In other action, UT over OU in Austin—as projected. Mizzou over Iowa St in Ames—as projected.
The Jayhawks over K-State—as projected.
A&M over Okie St in College Station—as projected (and predicted—all A&M had to do was show up).
And Baylor over Tech in an at-risk game in Lubbock.
With but one game remaining in the season for each team, all eyes are on Baylor, A&M, Mizzou, and UT, as two of these teams will take next Wednesday off along with KU and K-State.
The Rules of Projection:
Projected W’s: Home games vs. Peer and lower level teams and Road games vs. teams two or more Tiers lower;
Projected L’s: Road games vs. Peer and higher level teams and Home games vs. teams two or more Tiers higher;
At-risk games: Home games vs. teams one tier higher and Road games vs. teams one tier lower.
With 15 games down, 1 to go:
Tier 1: KU, K-State
Tier 2: Baylor, Mizzou, Okie St, Texas A&M, UT
Tier 3: Oklahoma, Texas Tech
Tier 4: Colorado, Iowa St, Nebraska
The Final 2010 REAL Standings Projection, as they merge with the newspaper standings at approximately 7:00 o’clock Saturday night:
KU (14-1) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: at Mizzou 2. 12-4
K-State (11-4) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: N/A
Baylor (10-5) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: N/A
Texas A&M (10-5) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: at OU
Mizzou (10-5) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: vs. KU
UT (9-6) Projected L’s: at Baylor Losable games: N/A
Okie St (8-7) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: N/A
Colorado (5-10) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: vs. Tech
Texas Tech (4-11) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: at CU
Oklahoma (4-11) Projected L’s: N/A Losable games: vs. A&M
Iowa St (3-12) Projected L’s: at K-State, Losable games: N/A
Nebraska (2-13) Projected L’s: at OSU Losable games: N/A
What to Watch
1. A&M at Oklahoma (11:00a.m.)**1/2 (At-risk game)
A win by the Aggies against the free-falling Sooners wraps up a first round bye.
2. Nebraska at Okie St (12:30p.m.)* (Projected W: Okie St)
The one meaningless game of the weekend—unless you think dropping to 8-8 puts them at risk of missing out on the Big Dance. With W’s over both KU and K-State, that is unlikely.
3. KU at Mizzou (1:00p.m.)**** (at-risk game)
For the second time in four days, the Jayhawks take on a Top 5 team. However, unlike Wednesday night, when they handled the No. 5 team in the nation handily in picking up a projected victory, their game vs. the No. 5 team in the conference is an at-risk affair, being in Columbia before a rare full house.
4. Texas Tech at Colorado (2:00p.m.)*1/2 (At-risk game)
CU goes for its sixth win and sole possession of eighth place. Now that’s meaning.
5. Texas at Baylor (3:00p.m.)**** (Projected W: BU)
Baylor is on a roll and at Home. UT is desperate to get its act together in time to salvage its season in March. If the Longhorns have any character, this will be a barnburner.
6. Iowa St at K-State (5:00p.m.)** (Projected W: K-State)
The biggest shock of the weekend would be if this game were close.