REAL Standings: Lubbock Freezes Over Edition

WEEKEND RECAP

Earlier this season, I insisted, in one REAL Standings Commentary after another, that Texas Tech would win a conference game. This was based on the theory that Billy Gillispie is too good a coach to go winless on his Home court. However, as the season progressed, as Tech looked worse by the outing, as OU, Okie St, and A&M looked more and more respectable with each passing game, I began to wonder.

That is history now. Tech will not go winless, not after picking up a W Saturday in its at-risk Home game vs. Oklahoma. The same Oklahoma that would have taken out Mighty Mizzou five days earlier had it matched its season free throw percentage of 76%, rather than making but 9 of 23.

Tech’s win was the only game that moved the REAL Standings in any respect, as KU, Mizzou, Iowa St, and Texas all won as projected over Okie St, Baylor, A&M, and K-State respectively.

On the lighter side, Saturday did give us a number of contenders for Reid-iculous statement of the week.

First came Mr. Gettys’s statement prior to the Okie St-KU game in Lawrence, when he asserted that Okie St could win the game. Okay, I guess anything is theoretically possible. I once stated that a particularly bad Tech team had zero chance of beating a highly rated KU team in Lubbock and lived to swallow those words after spending a considerable amount of time chewing on them.

So, I’ll cut Reid some slack on this one.

Later, when KU’s 51-22 lead was (predictably) cut from 29 to 18 in the second half (63-45), Reid declared that Tech could still get back in the game. All right, it’s contrary to his job description to declare, “This Game is Ovah!” So more slack.

But then came the coup de grâce: As the game was winding down, Reid noted that Iowa St had beaten A&M easily in Ames. He acted surprised that Iowa St was now tied with Baylor for third place in the big 12 standings.

This statement was so Reid-iculous, it was sad. It is as if he has no concept of the REAL Standings, which reveal, taking both teams’ current Tier status and upcoming schedule, that Baylor has a 2 ½ game lead over the Cyclones. Even if Baylor were dropped to Tier 2, because they are clearly a notch below KU and Mizzou (as in 0-4), the Bears would still hold a full game lead over ISU. Baylor is finished with the Jayhawks and Tigers and has but two difficult Road games remaining: at Texas and at Iowa St. The Cyclones, meanwhile, still have Road trips to Mizzou, K-State, and Baylor.

So, although the door is open for Iowa St to catch or pass Baylor for third place—most likely by sweeping the Bears—the Cyclones’ have the more daunting task. Although it might look like the two teams are tied for third in the Houston Chronicle, it is Reid-iculous to make such a misleading statement aloud.

On second thought, drop Reid to second place for the week behind the announcer who stated, during the OU-Mizzou game, that, if the season ended that day (Monday), Mizzou would have the tiebreaker against KU and Baylor, being 1-0 against both teams at that time. Since I didn’t catch that fellow’s name, I will refer to him simply as Mr. Imbecile.

THE TIERS

Tier 1: Baylor, KU, Mizzou

Tier 2: Iowa St, K-State, Texas

Tier 3: Oklahoma, Okie St, Texas A&M

Tier 4: Texas Tech

REAL BIG 12 STANDINGS

2-5-12

1. 15.5-2.5

KU (10-2) Projected L’s: N/A At Risk games: at K-State

2. 15-3

Mizzou (10-2) Projected L’s: at KU At Risk games: N/A

3. 13-5

Baylor (8-4) Projected L’s: N/A At Risk games: at UT, at ISU

4. 10.5-7.5

Iowa St (8-4) Projected L’s: at Baylor, at K-State, at Mizzou At Risk games: vs. Baylor

5. 9.5-8.5

Texas (6-6) Projected L’s: at KU At Risk games: at OU, at Okie St, vs. Baylor

6. 9-9

K-State (6-6) Projected L’s: at Baylor, at Mizzou At Risk games: vs. KU, at A&M

7. 6.5-11.5

Okie St (5-7) Projected L’s: at Mizzou, at OU, vs. KU, at K-State

At Risk games: vs. Texas

8. 5.5-12.5

Oklahoma (3-9) Projected L’s: at ISU, at Baylor, at Texas

At Risk games: vs. Texas

9. 4-14

Texas A&M (3-9) Projected L’s: vs. Mizzou, vs. KU, at Okie St, at OU

At Risk games: at Tech, vs. K-State

10 1.5-16.5

Texas Tech (1-11) Projected L’s: at KU, At ISU, vs. Texas, at Baylor, vs. Mizzou At Risk games: vs. A&M

ON THE TUBE

MONDAY

Iowa State at Baylor **** (6:00p.m.—ESPNU) (Projected W: Baylor)

Yes, Baylor sucks in relation to its talent and ranking. Still, they have only lost four games, all to KU and Mizzou. If ISU becomes the third team to take them out, that’s the place the Cyclones will REALly slip into as the Bears will lose all claim to being a Tier 1 team.

Kansas at K-State**** (8:00p.m.—ESPN) (At-risk game)

Another day, another incredibly frenzied environment. Just another day at the office for the Jayhawks.

TUESDAY

Texas A&M at Texas Tech** (6:00p.m.—ESPN2) (At-risk game)

Words I never thought I’d hear this year: Tech has a good chance of winning its second straight conference game. Even more amazing, this might be a watchable game.

Texas at Oklahoma**1/2 (8:00p.m.—Big 12 Network) (At-risk game)

Redemption game for OU. You think Lonnie has not read the riot act to his team after its debacle in Lubbock? That makes them dangerous.

WEDNESDAY

Oklahoma St at Mizzou **1/2 (8:00p.m.—ESPN2) (Projected W: Mizzou)

Mizzou at Home with the revenge factor. It cannot ever atone for its loss in Stillwater, but will try.

An amusing thought: What if Okie St has Mizzou’s number? Not likely, of course. But what if?

--Mark

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