REAL Standings: Week 1 in Review

With one week of the 2013 Conference season is in the books, has anything REALly changed?

In some respects, yes. We had more than the usual number of games in which Projected losers came away with victory.

Two such events occurred on Saturday: Texas Tech taking out fellow Tier 3 team TCU on the Road, and Oklahoma downing fellow Tier Two-er West Virgini-er in Morgantown.

Then, wouldn’t you know it, the Mountainee-ers pulled off the same feat on Wednesday in Austin. Which was surprising not only because UT had a comfortable 13 point lead in the second half, which seemed more like 25 points in this Big East-like scoring challenged fiasco, but also because, just four days earlier, Texas looked like it might be a dangerously efficient team, what with Javan Felix being one cool cat, pulling one solid play after another out of an impressive bag of tricks in Waco—even though ultimately coming up short in Overtime.

With two overtime losses, the second one coming in spite of its own BMac Moment, UT is down a full game in the REAL Standings, when it was on the precipice of being up a full game and being in the picture for a battlefield promotion to Tier One, with El Kabongo’s return being but a few short weeks away. Instead, UT is suddenly in dire straits. Whatever money Rick Barnes is making, does, indeed, appear to be for nothing.

West Virginia, to the contrary, with its unexpected and unprojected W on the Road immediately after its unexpected and unprojected L at Home, is feeling like the duffer who birdies Hole No. 4, birdie turning a four over round after three into three over after four. Don’t pretend you don’t know what I’m talking about.

Other than OU, the big winner of the week was K-State, who picked up ½ game in the REAL Standings with its at-risk victory at Home vs. Okie St. (No, I am not counting Tech’s win over TCU as a “Big” W, notwithstanding the fact that the ten member Big 12 is a mad, mad, mad, mad conference.)

Three teams gave their fans a boring sort of week, with no movement of any sort in the REAL Standings: i.e., no unexpected W’s or L’s, and no at risk contests. KU handled Iowa St as projected, and Baylor did the same to Texas and Tech.

THE CURRENT 2013 SEASON REAL BIG 12 CONFERENCE TIERS

1. Tier One: KU/Okie St/Baylor

2. Tier Two: Iowa St, K-State, Oklahoma, Texas, and West Virginia.

3. Tier Three: TCU, Tech.

THE CURRENT 2013 REAL BIG 12 STANDINGS:

1. 13.5-4.5

Baylor (2-0) Projected L’s: at KU, at OSU At-risk games: at ISU, at K-State, at OU, at WVU, at UT

KU (1-0) Projected L’s: at OSU, at BU At-risk games: at UT, at K-State, at WVU, at OU, at ISU

3. 13-5

Okie St (1-1) Projected L’s: at BU, at KU At-risk games: at OU, at UT, at WVU, at ISU

4. 9.5-8.5

Oklahoma (1-0) Projected L’s: at KSU, at KU, at BU, at ISU, at OSU, at UT At-risk games: KU, OSU, at Tech, BU, at TCU

5. 9-9

K-State (1-0) Projected L’s: at WVU, at ISU, at OU, at KU, at UT, at BU, at OSU At-risk games: at TCU, KU, at Tech, BU

6. 8.5-9.5

Iowa State (0-1) Projected L’s: at OSU, at K-State, at UT, at BU, at OU, at WVU At-risk games: at TCU, at Tech, BU, KU, OSU

W. Virginia (1-1) Projected L’s: at ISU, at OSU, at BU, at K-State, at KU, at OU At-risk games: KU, at Tech, at TCU, OSU, BU

8. 7.5-10.5

Texas (0-2) Projected L’s: at ISU, at OU, at K-State, at WVU, at KU, at OSU At-risk games: KU, OSU, at TCU, BU, at Tech

9. 4.5-13.5

Texas Tech (1-1) Projected L’s: KU, at OU, at OSU, at UT, at BU, OSU, at WVU, at ISU, at K-State, at KU At-risk games: ISU, WVU, K-State, OU, UT

10. 2.5-15.5

TCU (0-2) Projected L’s: at BU, at WVU, BU, at UT, KU, at OU, at ISU, at KU, OSU, at Tech, at K-State At-risk games: KSU, ISU, WVU, UT, OU

:

What to Watch

Saturday:

1. K-State at West Virginia (12:30)***1/2 (Projected W: WVU)

Will the REAL West Virginia please stand up, please stand up?

2. Texas at Iowa St (1:00p.m.) *** (Projected W: Iowa St)

Are the Cyclones actually as good as they looked in Lawrence? Is UT as good as they looked in Waco or as bad as they looked in Austin? Will we find the answer to these questions in Ames?

3. Okie St at OU (2:00p.m.)**** (At-risk game)

Okie St digs a huuuge hole for itself early if it loses its second at-risk game in eight days.

4. KU at Texas Tech (3:00p.m.)* (Projected W: KU)

I would say that KU has a zero percent chance of losing in Lubbock, but the last time I made that statement. . .

5. TCU at Baylor (5:00p.m.) * (Projected W: BU)

Snooze-a-rama.

--Mark

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