REAL Standings: Topeka YMCA Edition

I have questioned Scott Drew’s coaching aptitude frequently in the REAL Standings Report. But that was before Wednesday night, when his coaching moved Oklahoma St into sole possession of first place. Unfortunately, Drew doesn’t coach Oklahoma St. He coaches Baylor, the team that had possession of the basketball with 15 seconds left in Overtime of a tie game.

Shot clock off. As Dennis Hopper queried in Speed: “What do you do? What do you do?”

What you do, of course, is take the last shot. What you don’t do is let Okie St touch the ball again with more than two seconds remaining on the clock. What you don’t do is try to put up a shot with 8 seconds remaining.

So what did Baylor not do? What it should have done.

What did it do? What it should not have done.

They put up a shot way too early, had it blocked with right at 7 seconds remaining, and had no one—well, almost no one—back to stop or slow down Markel Brown as he took the ball the length of the court for a virtually uncontested layup.

Scott drew: What Turner Gill would be if Gill had one of the country’s most talented and athletic teams.

Not being too proud to accept Baylor’s charity, Okie St took over first place in the Big 12, a half game clear of K-State and Oklahoma and a full game in front of KU.

It is not surprising that the Jayhawks’ epic collapse at TCU had the biggest effect on the league standings, as KU’s once in a century (if that often) loss in a game they were projected to win was more responsible for changing the status quo than was Okie St doing what it was projected to do: garner a Home W.

Projected wins by West Virginia over Texas in Morgantown, Iowa ST over Oklahoma in Ames, and K-State over Tech in Lubbock all failed to move the REAL Standings needle even a little bit.

THE CURRENT 2013 SEASON REAL TIERS (Subject to change)

1. Tier One: Baylor/Iowa St/KU/KSU/OU/OSU

2. Tier Two: Texas/West Virginia

3. Tier Three: Texas Tech

4. Tier Four: TCU

THE CURRENT 2013 REAL STANDINGS:

1. 13-5 Okie St (6-3) Projected L’s: at ISU At-risk games: at UT, at WVU

3. 12.5-5.5

K-State (7-2) Projected L’s: at KU, at BU, at OSU At-risk games: at UT

Oklahoma (5-4) Projected L’s: at OSU At-risk games: at UT

4. 12-6

KU (7-2) Projected L’s: at OU, at OSU, at ISU, at BU At-risk games: N/A

5. 11-7

Baylor (5-4) Projected L’s: at OU, at K-State At-risk games: at WVU, at UT

Iowa St (6-3) Projected L’s: at K-State, at OU, at BU At-risk games: at UT, at WVU

7. 7.5-10.5

W. Virginia (4-5) Projected L’s: at BU, at K-State, at KU, at OU At-risk games: OSU, BU, ISU

8. 6-12

Texas (2-7) Projected L’s: at KU, at OSU At-risk games: OSU, ISU, K-State, OU, BU, at Tech

9. 3.5-14.5

Texas Tech (2-7) Projected L’s: at BU, OSU, at WVU, OU, at ISU, at K-State, at KU At-risk games: UT

10. 1-17

TCU (1-8) Projected L’s: WVU, at OU, at ISU, UT, at KU, OSU, at Tech, at K-State, OU At-risk games: N/A

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What to Watch

Saturday:

1. Oklahoma St at Texas (12:45p.m.)**** (At-risk game)

Any Road game involving the first place team and an opponent that has even a slight chance to beat it is must see TV.

2. Texas Tech at Baylor (3:00p.m.) *(Projected W: BU)

Not must see TV.

3. KU at Oklahoma (3:00p.m.)**** (Projected W: OU)

Last Saturday, the Big 12 race was KU’s to lose. This Saturday, it is desperation time. This is the first of four exceedingly difficult Road games remaining, and the Jayhawks probably need to win two of them (as well as all of their Home games) to claim a share of the title. The Hawks’ one saving grace is that, projections aside, they control their own destiny. Win out and they are undisputed Big 12 champs. The only other team that can say that is K-State.

But to control their own destiny, KU will first have to control the ball occasionally—off the dribble, off the pass, off the boards—and make a shot now and then.

If the Hawks are to win two their final four Road games, they need this game. Otherwise, they will be forced to win in either Ames or Stillwater, daunting tasks, indeed, for a team that could not pull out a W in the basketball hotbed that is Fort Worth, Texas, where even Texas tech won by 9.

4. West Virginia at TCU (3:00p.m.)* (Projected W: WVU)

West Virginia’s chances of winning this game is toughly 99.999%. Unless their guards go 11- for 48 from the field.

5. Iowa St at K-State (5:00p.m.) **** (Projected W: K-State)

Iowa St remains a team in search of a way to atone for its loss in Lubbock. K-State tries to remain in control of its own destiny going into Monday night’s Big Monday game in Lawrence.

--Mark

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