REAL Standings: The Oompa Loompa Edition

MIDWEEK RECAP

The early games this week are reminiscent of the Johnny Depp version of Charlie and the Chocolate Factory. (Disclaimer: the title role of Charlie is played by Freddie Highmore, whoever that is.)

Not enough Oompa Loompas on the court singing songs like:

Oompa Loompa doompadee doo What team does not belong in Tier Two? You know who, I know that you do The team of oompa loompadee drew

In an historical turn of events, Baylor becomes the first team in the history of the REAL Standings to drop two tiers in one season. Let alone in two weeks. At this rate, they will be in Tier 5.5 by the end of the season.

But they brought it on themselves. Baylor is not only 1-6 in the newspaper standings, but is 0-3 against Tier Two teams at Home after Tuesday’s loss to West Virginia (joining OU and UT) and was not particularly competitive in a loss to Texas Tech in Lubbock. Their only conference win thus far was vs. TCU in Waco.

That, my friends, is the resume of a Tier 3 team. Going on Tier 5.5.

As for other teams who are in the conversation for reclassification:

• Should Okie St drop after its Monday night loss in Norman? They have, after all, now lost a game in a venue where KU won. However, in meaningful games (ones that affect the REAL Standings), the Cowboys have a victory at West Virginia and losses at OU and K-State. This is not great, but also not out of line for a Tier One team. Yet.

• How about Iowa St at 4-4 in the newspaper standings? Should they drop a tier? Probably not. They were Tier One Wednesday afternoon, and losing a close game on the Road to the Jayhawks is hardly a disqualifier for Tier One status. The Cyclones’ only bad loss is to KU in Ames; their two Road losses to Tier Two teams Texas and Oklahoma are comparable to Okie St’s at OU and K-State. They are on thin ice, though, having no good wins.

• Is it time to move Oklahoma up to Tier One? They picked up a full game by taking out Texas in Austin, as well as two half games with wins over Iowa St and Okie St at Home. Their only negative moment was losing to KU in Norman, which cost them half a game. This is a pretty strong resume, actually. They will have a chance to make a statement in their next two games at Iowa St and West Virginia.

• We discussed Texas in the most recent REAL Standings report.

For those who are clamoring for OU or UT to be promoted to Tier One, here is the effect that doing so would have on the REAL Standings:

• Oklahoma: Would have a projected record of 12.5-5.5, three games behind KU at 15.5-2.5

• Texas: Would have a projected record of 13-5, two games behind KU at 15-3

• Both OU and UT: Both would have projected records of 12.5-5.5, three games behind KU at 15.5-2.5

There does not appear to be an urgent need to reclassify either team upward before Saturday’s games.

In the other early week game, K-State downed Tech in Manhattan, resulting in no effect on the REAL Standings for either team.

THE CURRENT REAL STANDINGS TIERS

1. Tier One: Iowa St, KU, Okie St

2. Tier Two: K-State, Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia

3. Tier Three: Baylor, TCU, Texas Tech

THE CURRENT REAL STANDINGS:

1. 15.5-2.5

KU (7-0) Projected L’s: at OSU At-risk games: at UT, at KSU, at WVU

2. 13.5-4.5

Okie St (4-3) Projected L’s: at ISU At-risk games: at UT

3. 12-6

Iowa St (3-4) Projected L’s: at OSU At Risk Games: at WVU, at K-State

4. 11.5-6.5

Oklahoma (6-2) Projected L’s: at ISU, at WVU, at OSU, at KU At-risk games: OSU, at TCU

5. 10-8

Texas (5-2) Projected L’s: at KSU, at ISU, at KU, at OU At-risk games: KU, at TCU, OSU, at Tech

K-State (5-3) Projected L’s: at WVU, at OU, at OSU At-risk games: KU, at BU, at Tech, ISU

7. 9-9

W. Virginia (4-4) Projected L’s: at KU, at UT, at ISU, at OU At-risk games: ISU, KU

8. 4-14

Texas Tech (2-6) Projected L’s: at KSU, at OSU, at OU, at ISU, KU, at OSU, at BU, at KU At-risk games: KSU, UT

9. 2.5-15.5

Baylor (1- 6) Projected L’s: at OSU, KU, at OU, at TCU, OSU, at WVU, at UT, ISU, at KSU At-risk games: KSU

10. 2-16

TCU (0-7) Projected L’s: at Tech, at ISU, at KU, at KSU, ISU, OSU, at WVU, at UT At-risk games: UT, OU

Upcoming Games

All times CST

Saturday:

1. K-State at West Virginia (12:30p.m.)* *1/2 (Projected W: WVU)

K-State does not have a good Road win. This would be a pretty good Road win. It would at least match Okie St and Texas, both winners in Morgantown.

2. TCU at Texas Tech (12:30p.m.) * (Projected W: Tech)

Tech is a year ahead of TCU in the rebuilding process. Or building process, if you prefer.

3. Baylor at Okie St (1:00p.m.)** (Projected W: OSU)

At some point, Baylor’s players are going to grow weary of being laughingstocks. That’s not what they signed up for. At some point, they will take it upon themselves to play basketball, coach be damned. At which point they will be dangerous, at least in random forty minutes stints. In the meantime, they will be everyone’s favorite opponent not named TCU.

4. Oklahoma at Iowa St (3:00p.m.) **** (Projected W: ISU)

This, then, is OU’s first chance to move on up to the east side, to a deluxe apartment in the sky.

5. Kansas at Texas (3:00p.m.)**** (At risk game)

No, a Texas win will not necessarily make them a serious contender, but just might vault them into Tier One status. Could be a REAL barn burner in front of a sell out crowd. And, contrary to popular belief, the Erwin Center can get as loud as any arena in the country when it’s full. REALly.

--Mark

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