REAL Standings: The "We were never going to go undefeated anyway" Edition

WEEKEND RECAP

Once again, what is the premise of the REAL Standings?

Answer: Championships are not won at Home.

Sorry Texas.

They can, however, be lost at Home.

Sorry, Okie St.

Still, Texas’s win over previously undefeated KU brings it into the conversation. In fact, along with its Road wins at Baylor and West Virginia, UT has earned a battlefield promotion to Tier One, where it is in a flat-footed tie for second place, two games behind the Jayhawks. To be a serious contender, Texas needs to take it recent success on the Road, where it must yet face KU, Iowa St, Oklahoma, and K-State. If you’re keeping score at Home, that’s a total of 3.5 projected losses.

The other second place team? No, it is not Okie St—not after its inexplicable loss at Home to Baylor. Or even Iowa St, despite its victory in Ames, over Oklahoma.

It is, instead, Iowa State’s victim. Oklahoma moves into Tier One by virtue of its victory in Austin, which suddenly looms as one of the most impressive and important wins by any Big 12 team in conference play. In fact, the only two victories of the same magnitude both belong to KU; i.e., at Oklahoma and Iowa St. Which, along with being undefeated at Home, is why KU enjoys a two game edge over the Sooners and Longhorns.

The other big winner of the weekend was, of course, Baylor, being the first team to hand Okie St a Home loss. This is why Baylor in general, and Scott Drew in particular, get no respect. They have enough to beat anyone when they come to play. Or lose to anyone other than TCU when they don’t. So why are they not ready more often?

That’s a rhetorical question.

In other action, in a game having no effect on the REAL Standings, West Virginia downed K-State, as projected, at Home.

THE CURRENT REAL STANDINGS TIERS

1. Tier One: Iowa St, KU, Oklahoma, Okie St, Texas

2. Tier Two: Baylor, K-State, West Virginia

3. Tier Three: TCU, Texas Tech

THE CURRENT REAL STANDINGS:

1. 14.5-3.5

KU (7-1) Projected L’s: at OSU At-risk games: at BU, at KSU, at WVU

2. 12.5-5.5

Oklahoma (6-3) Projected L’s: at OSU, at KU At-risk games: at WVU

Texas (6-2) Projected L’s: at ISU, at KU, at OU At-risk games: at K-State

4. 11.5-6.5

Iowa St (4-4) Projected L’s: at OSU At Risk Games: at WVU, at K-State, at BU

Okie St (4-4) Projected L’s: at Texas, at ISU At-risk games: at BU

6. 9-9

K-State (5-4) Projected L’s: at BU, at OU, at OSU At-risk games: UT, KU, at Tech, ISU

7. 8.5-9.5

W. Virginia (5-4) Projected L’s: at KU, at UT, at ISU, at OU At-risk games: OU, ISU, KU

8. 6-12

Baylor (2- 6) Projected L’s: at OU, at WVU, at UT, at KSU At-risk games: KU, TCU, OSU, ISU

9. 3.5-14.5

Texas Tech (3-6) Projected L’s: OSU, OU, at ISU, KU, at OSU, at BU, at KU, UT At-risk games: KSU

10. 0.5-17.5

TCU (0-8) Projected L’s: at UT, at ISU, at KU, at KSU, ISU, OSU, at WVU, at UT, OU At-risk games: BU

Upcoming Games

All times CST

Monday:

1. Iowa St at Oklahoma St (8:00p.m.)* *** (Projected W: OSU)

Bothe teams have a Home loss. Both teams are hanging onto contender status like Cary Grant looking up in desperation at Martin Landau at Mount Rushmore. Another Home loss for Okie St and their once promising quest for conference supremacy is as dead in the water as Robert Shaw with the entire second half of the season yet to play.

Technically, a loss here will not hurt Iowa St in the REAL Standings. As a practical matter, a fifth loss probably spells D-o-o-m-s-d-a-y for either team.

Tuesday

2. KU at Baylor (6:00p.m.) **** (At risk game)

The Jayhawks are one of two teams without a Home loss in conference play (the other being K-State). As a result, they can absorb the loss of another half game here. That will be scant consolation, however, if it actually happens. And it could happen. Baylor demonstrated Saturday in Stillwater and last year vs. KU that they are a dangerous team when they play with focus and confidence—which is why this is a Four Star Special. On the other hand, can they do that twice in four days?

3. Texas at TCU (7:00p.m.)** (Projected W: UT)

Texas catches a break, playing the worst team in the league in its first Road outing after its monumental effort Saturday. They can afford a letdown. Right? Or do the Horny Toads have a surprise of their own up their Horny sleeves?

Wednesday

4. Oklahoma at West Virginia (6:00p.m.) **** (At risk game)

Okie St and Texas have already won in Morgantown, making this a pretty important game for the Sooners.

--Mark

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