No news at the top of the REAL Standings in the midweek games. KU defeated Iowa St in Lawrence, as projected. No change there. Oklahoma defeated West Virginia in Norman, as projected. No change there.
Baylor defeated TCU in Waco, as projected. No change there.
Where there was change was where there was more of the same: Texas losing again. Only this time to Okie St, a non-contender if there ever was one, in Austin.
And, of course, Texas Tech , which had been projected to win two games for the season, won its second with eight games remaining to try for No. 3. Who knows, they might have won even had K-State’s best player been on the court. The game was in Lubbock. With an all -time record student attendance.
As a result:
1. Texas was on notice that one more non-projected loss would result in being demoted to Tier Two. It wasn’t supposed to happen at Home vs. a Tier Two team. Make that Tier 2 peer. But it did.
2. It has been suggested that Baylor should, likewise, be demoted to Tier 2. I will hold off on doing that at this point, because I have an aversion to demoting a team off a win (or promoting a team off a loss). Besides, Baylor has only lost one Home game to this point. A victory in Waco means something in separating the regular crème from the crème de la crème. That and they are ranked No. 12 by kenpom and 14 by Sagarin.
3. TCU, however, is a different story. They are coming off a lopsided loss in Waco. Should they be demoted to Tier 3 despite outplaying West Virginia on the Road, taking KU to the final possession, in Fort Worth, and beating Tech by 20 in Lubbock? Well, they are 1-8 in the newspaper standings, with no relief in sight. Though improved from last year, the Horned Frogs are clearly a notch below Okie St, K-State, and Texas (I think). Tier 3 it is.
4. If TCU is a Tier 3 team, what does that make Texas Tech? That’s right: We now have four tiers. Until Tech can compete even a little bit on the Road, they are in a league of their own. Yes, K-State notwithstanding. Then again, who knows, Tech might have won even had K-State’s best player been on the court. The game was in Lubbock. With an all -time record student attendance.
5. The Big 12, obviously, still goes through Lawrence.
Tier 1: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia
Tier 2: K-State, Okie St, Texas
Tier 3: TCU
Tier 4: Texas Tech
KU (8-1) Projected Losses: at WVU, at OU At risk games: at OSU, at KSU
Oklahoma (6-4) Projected Losses: at ISU At risk games: at KSU
Iowa St: (6-3) Projected Losses: at OU At risk games: at OSU, at UT, at KSU
West Virginia (6-3) Projected Losses: at ISU, at BU, at KU At risk games: at OSU
Baylor (5-4) Projected Losses: at WVU, at KU, at ISU At risk games: at UT
Okie St (5-5) Projected Losses: at BU, at WVU At risk games: KU, at TCU, ISU, WVU
K-State (5-5) Projected Losses: at WVU, at BU, at UT At-risk games: OU, at TCU, KU, ISU
Texas (3-6) Projected Losses: at KSU, at OU, at WVU, at KU At risk games: ISU, BU
TCU (1-8) Projected Losses: OU, at UT, at KU, at OU, at OSU, ISU At risk games: OSU, KSU
Texas Tech (2-8) Projected Losses: at ISU, KU, at UT, BU, OU, at TCU, OSU, at BU At risk games: N/A
BIG 12 SCHEDULE
1. Baylor at West Virginia (11:00am)****(Projected W:WVU)
Baylor might be the darling of the computer mavens, but at some point, if they are truly a Tier 1 outfit, they have to beat somebody who is someone on the Road.
2. Texas Tech at Iowa St (1:00pm)*(Projected W: ISU)
After being virtually eliminated from contention for the Big 12 title in Lubbock, Iowa St is not likely to be in a charitable mood in this particular game. This one could and should get ugly early.
3. KU at Okie St (1:00pm)****(At-risk game)
There are no atheists in fox holes. Nine other teams are praying that the Jayhawks come back to the pack just a little bit in Stillwater.
4. Oklahoma at TCU (2:00pm). ***(Projected W: OU)
Okay, TCU. Here is your chance to debunk your demotion.
5. Texas at K-State (3:00pm) ** *(Projected W: K-State)
Barnes vs. Weber. You could make S’mores over those two seats.