REAL STANDINGS: LOST WEEKEND EDITION

WEEKEND ACTION IN REVIEW

And just like that, Scott Drew pulled back into a tie with Bill Self in Allen Fieldhouse losses at 10.

More importantly, KU’s loss at Home in a Projected Win game to Iowa St gave Baylor a chance to make the Big 12 Title theirs to lose.

Instead, Baylor matched KU’s loss and dropped a full game in the REAL Standings by losing a game it was projected to win at Home vs. K-State. Bottom line? The two teams remain deadlocked atop the REAL Standings.

These results opened the way for West Virginia to halve the distance between them and both KU and Baylor. (Though not, as declared by Rich Hollenberg, announcing the West Virginia game for ESPN, a chance to move past Baylor. It must be nice to get paid big bucks for saying stupid things.)

On the flip side of this scenario, ISU, K-State, and Okie St all picked up a full game and enhanced their NCAA Tournament resumes.

All of which goes to show, as stated in the previous REAL Standings Report: “Just a reminder: There are no gimmes in the Big 12. Even for the top teams at Home.”

In other action, TCU defeated Texas, and Texas Tech held off Oklahoma, both as projected and both at Home. No REAL change there.

CURRENT TIERS

Tier 1:
KU, Baylor, West Virginia

Tier 2:
Iowa St, K-State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Texas, TCU, Texas Tech,

 

1. 13-5

KU (8-2)

CURRENT PROJECTIONS

 

Projected L’s (at BU)
At risk games (at K-State, at Tech, at UT, at OSU)

Baylor (7-3)

Projected L’s: None
At risk games (at OSU, at Tech, at ISU, at UT)

3. 11-7

WVU (6-4)

Projected L’s (at KU, at BU) At risk games (at OU, at TCU)

4. 9.5-8.5

ISU (6-4)

Projected L’s (at UT, at K-State, at Tech, at WVU) At risk games (vs. BU)

5. 8.5-9.5 TCU(5-5)

Projected L’s (at BU, at ISU, at KU, at OU) At risk games: (vs. WVU)

K-State (5-5)

Projected L’s (at WVU, at UT, at OU, at TCU) At risk games (KU)

7. 8-10

Okie State (4-6)

Projected L’s (at TCU, at K-State, at ISU) At risk games (vs. BU, vs. KU)

8. 7-11

Tech (4-6)

Projected L’s (at TCU, at WVU, at OSU, at K-State)

At risk games (vs. KU, vs. BU) 9. 6-12

UT (3-7)

Projected L’s (at OSU, at OU, at WVU, at Tech) At risk games (vs. KU, vs. BU)

10. 5.5-12.5

OU (2-8)

Projected L’s (at ISU, at OSU, at BU, at KU) At risk games (vs. WVU)

AS SEEN ON TV

Monday
1. KU at K-State (8:00p.m.) (ESPN) (At-risk game)****

K-State is still smarting from its loss at Allen Fieldhouse on a last second layup by Svi Mykhailuk. And they are flying high with the winds of Waco beneath their wings. After losing to a Tier two team at Home on Saturday, however, the Jayhawks will not take this game lightly. And how many times has Bill Self lost back to back conference games? Something has gotta and is gonna give.

Tuesday
2. Texas Tech at TCU (8:00p.m.) (ESPN News) (Projected W: TCU)***

Remember the childhood game King of the Hill? That’s what all of these match-ups between Tier Two teams are like. Except the Hilltop is Fourth Place in the Big 12 Standings.

3. Iowa St at Texas (8:00p.m.) (ESPN2) (Projected W: UT)***

After its W on Mount Oread, ISU has moved to the crest of the Hill. At least temporarily. Another Road W could ensconce them there permanently.

Wednesday
4. Baylor at Okie St (6:00p.m.) (ESPNU) (At-risk game)****

Okie St is the hottest team in the Big 12, having won 5 straight times (4 in conference). They might be a Tier One caliber team, much to Baylor’s and KU’s chagrin, since both have yet to visit Stillwater. The Big 12 Title might well be decided by what the Bears and Jayhawks do in Eskimo Joe-ville.

 

5. West Virginia at Oklahoma (8:00p.m.) (ESPN) (At-risk game)****

Your basic must win game for WVU. You are not likely to end the season as Big 12 champions if you get swept by the conference’s last place team—even if that last place team is the best last place team in the country.

--Mark

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